2007年3月3日星期六

》如何有效地节约水资源 [贝克/文,王升/译](待续)

[贝克/文,王升/译]
界人口的锐增与收入在这50年间,已经引发了对清水的极大需求,以及有关水供应量能否应对遇到(出现)的种种需要。可用水的需求在未来确实将继续保持增长态势,在一个重要层面上说,除非有减少需求量的措施,特别(尤其)是在水资源供应量能够增加,但十分缓慢,而全球气候变暖,迫使降雨量减少,可蒸发量却大为增加的情况下的最佳方案是:将水的供求关系保持平衡。这就需要引入一个非常之精确的水资源损耗评估定价,这将提升为大多数国家的公共事务。
近年来,多次水资源保护的研讨会针对这一现象的出现(产生),即家家户户都是清水的浪费者(低效使用者),主要浪费在喝,吃,洗,以及冲厕所这几方面上。那简直不可思议,一派胡言,毫无客观性。在美国,大约有40%的淡水是用来农业灌溉的,另外,40%曾用来发电,那么,只有8%用于畜牧业/家用;这些百分率参数在其他国家也几乎雷同。此外,在发达国家,每家每户都要浇草坪和其它户外用途,这大概也被使用了所有水的1/3。因此,可能用于个人饮用的水大概不超过整个需求量的5%的比例。
想再次利用水资源,就应该将无数的水被转换到水源池,但是自从转换之后要么被立即用掉,要么等到蒸发和凝结,故被利用的水通常是被消耗的水之纯额中那微不足道的一部分[用过的水通常很难衡量所消耗的水的净数量,因为大量的水不是马上,就是蒸发或冷凝后,回收到源池中,并在那里得到再次使用。]。电热高的车间/植物要用很多水完成其降温目的,而且有个典型的高重复使用率(大约是98%),日常生活所用的水亦十分高效节能,重复使用率大约在75%。凭借此结论,无论电力生产者,还是家家户户的日常使用都不是水的最大消费者。自从多数灌溉系统具有低指标的重复利用率以来,农田的灌溉吸收了大量的水。在加利拂尼亚,这个用水量全美最大的一个州,灌溉系统只有大约40%的重复使用率。
政府屡屡尝试以支配与调控的政策来堵住可用水供应和需求的缺口,像制约水的使用就往往从老百姓的家中开始。不过,很多地方政府已经推行了一些规定,如降低冲洗厕所的水流量;禁止草坪洒水,除非在一定的时间段内;更有效的节约家务和户外等一系列的用水;以及其他水资源保护的规定等诸多方面。笔者可惜的是,这些规定中却无一条涉及水资源的主要需求方----农业与工业,他们更应降低用水开支。
几乎所有企事业部门都从不同途径挥霍用水资源,而且那些规定却对挥霍的主要根源,即无效的给 水定价毫无影响。全世界,大多数灌溉系统的每年之水价是低廉的,而非通过水被消费之后的攀升来定的。一般,家用的水是完全不评估的,即使要定价,低廉的费用比取决于使用量而定来得平常的多。与那些稀有的动物,文物一样,当水资源被大量使用消耗时,它的浪费量也就愈大,原因就在于人们的漠视。
显而易见的解决办法是执行依据对水的需求的攀升来付费。自从农业耕作成为水的庞大消费主体时开始,这样的费用在农业部门看来是尤其重大的。消耗量在最理想的状态下,在明确重复利用被占多少数量之后,将其限定为纯利用。关于这个数据,每一加仑使用的费用将低于发电厂自从挽回几乎有水的损失量。这样一来,农民会更加注意一些,原因有二,其一是因为他们是典型水消费者,二是因为大部分农业灌溉系统可以挽回水的使用而维持收入微薄的职业。
以损耗量攀升而定的费用将减少部分水的需求而达到削减整个需求量。举个例子,家家户户都习惯性地减少向草坪浇水,且时不时地调换天然草和人工草,或者干脆用石头和树去装饰花园,农民们也可以通过由改有赖于水的庄稼,如大米之类的,而向水需求少的庄稼,如小麦转型的种植方式来削减他们对水的需求。如果水价按重复利用率来计算,他们也将转换为更有效的灌溉体系,比如种小麦只要喷洒和滴洒,而种水稻则需要淹没整块田地[哪个最便宜]。随着精确的给水估价,在加利佛尼亚和其他地区,需要高昂的灌溉系统来种植水稻和其它水量密集型农作物都将改为其它农作物,或者他们的土地用作他用;那么,种植水量密集型农作物的,如何处置呢,它们将分散种植变成集中种植,在同一块区域内充分享受供水量。由于合理的水价在各国都不相同,因此非常含糊,全世界干燥地区,不能种植吸收水份的作物,他们只能积极种植其它作物来换取他们的粮食,故而,水价比粮食昂贵。
有些高效测量水需求的反对者们宣称不能减少水用量的原因在于错误的信赖水都被用到家家户户的吃喝以及个人卫生上去了。水的个人需求也许没有很响应的价格,而且在发达国家中,家家户户都要用大量的水来浇草坪已经游泳池,那将成为敏感的水价。公共和私人的高尔夫球场和其他一些娱乐设备要求很多水,他们也会对水的高度消费量作出反应的。很明显了,接下去农业和工业将对他们的价格作出反应。
自从那些穷国家不能负担可用水的增加需求的高昂方法,比如将咸水净化成淡水;以及自从出现水被低效能的灌溉系统运用于农业的巨大分数以来,高效的水价格对穷国家来说就就更为重要了。然而,大多数的穷国家没能努力得使水价合理起来。
自从家家户户的老百姓和农民们相信他们有一定权利能都用相应量水以来,有政策意义的水费的执行不是一件容易的事情。在特殊之下,富裕国家的农民是具有高的政策组织性的,也常常能努力克制他们用来灌溉土地的高涨的水花费。如果当他们采用高重复利用率的灌溉系统时,他们接受大量下降的水费的话,也许他们的反感或抗拒会轻弱一点。

》How to Conserve Water Efficiently [By Becker]


王升按——转摘一篇诺贝尔经济学得主贝克教授(Prof.Becker)的关于水资源的保护问题的文章。因为这段时间本人正在翻译此文。贝克教授现为美国芝加哥大学经济学院教授。
The sharp rise in world population and income during the past five decades has stimulated greatly increased demand for clean water, and concern about whether the supply of water would be adequate to meet these needs. Demand for usable water in the future will surely continue to grow at a significant pace unless steps are taken to reduce demand, while the supply of water could grow more slowly, especially if global warming reduced rainfall and increased evaporation of water. The best way to bring demand into balance with supply is to introduce much more sensible pricing of water consumption than is common in most countries.

Many discussions of water conservation create the impression that households are large and inefficient users of clean water for drinking, eating, bathing, and toilet flushing. That is a myth. About 40 per cent of all the freshwater use in the United States is for irrigating land for agriculture, another 40 percent is used to produce power, and only 8 percent is used for domestic use; these percentages are similar in other countries. Moreover, about a third of all the water used by households in rich countries goes to water lawns and for other out door purposes, so probably no more than about 5 per cent of the total demand for water is for personal use.

Water used is usually a poor measure of the net amount of water consumed since much water is returned either immediately, or after evaporation and condensation, to the source pool, where it can be used again. Thermoelectric plants use a lot of water for cooling purposes, but typically have a very high reutilization rate (about 98 percent). Household use is also efficient, with a reutilization rate of about 75 percent. As a result, neither power producers nor households are big net consumers of water. Irrigation of farmland absorbs much water since most irrigation systems have low reutilization rates. In California, the biggest water using state, irrigation systems have a reutilization rate of only about 40 percent.

Governments usually try to close the gap between the supply and demand of usable water by command and control policies that regulate water use, usually starting with households. Many local governments have introduced requirements for low flow toilet flushes, bans on lawn watering except during certain hours or days, requirements for more efficient household outdoor watering systems, and other water conserving regulations. None of these regulations do anything to economize on the water used by farmers and industry, the main demanders of water.

Water is wasted in many ways by all sectors, and regulations do nothing to affect the main source of wasteful use of water: the inefficient pricing of water. Most irrigation systems in the world price water through annual flat fees, and not through charges that rise with the water consumed. Often domestic water use is not priced at all, and when priced, flat fees are far more common than fees that depend on use. As with any other scarce good, water is wasted when the cost of using more is negligible.

The obvious solution is to implement fees that rise with the amount of water demanded. Such fees are especially important in the agricultural sector since farming is a heavy consumer of water. Consumption ideally would be defined as net use after reutilization is accounted for. With this measure, the fee per gallon of water used would be low to power plants since they recover almost all the water they use. Farmers would tend to pay a lot both because they typically use much water, and also because most agriculture irrigation systems do a poor job of recovering the water used.

Fees that rise with consumption would reduce the demand for water partly by cutting demand. For example, households would water their lawns less frequently, and sometimes would replace natural grass with artificial grass, or with rock gardens and trees, Farmers would cut their demand for water by switching away from crops that require much water, such as rice, toward crops that need less, such as wheat. They would also switch to more efficient irrigation systems, such as spraying and dripping rather than flooding (which is the cheapest), if the price of water took account of reutilization rates. With proper water pricing, California and other regions that need expensive irrigation system to grow rice and other water-intensive crops would switch to other crops, or to other uses of their land, so that water-intensive crops would become more concentrated in areas with abundant water supplies. More generally, with sensible water pricing in different countries, arid parts of the world would not grow food that absorbs much water, and would shift to other crops and activities that they would exchange for these foods.

Some opponents of effective metering of water demand claim that it would not reduce the use of water because of the mistaken belief that most of the water used goes to households for drinking and personal hygiene. The demand for water for personal use may not be very responsive to price, but households in developed countries use lots of water for lawns and swimming pools that would be sensitive to the price of water. Also public and private golf courses and some other recreational facilities require much water, and these uses too would respond to higher water costs. Clearly, the use of water in agriculture and industry would be sensitive to its price.

Effective water pricing is even more important to poor countries since they cannot afford expensive methods of increasing the supply of usable water, such as desalinization, and since a large fraction of their water is used in agriculture with inefficient irrigation systems. Yet most poor countries make little effort to price water sensibly.

Implementation of significant fees is not easy politically since households and farmers believe they have a right to as much water as they can get. In particular, farmers in richer countries are well organized politically, and often resist efforts to raise the cost of water they use to irrigate their land. Perhaps their opposition could be weakened if they received generous reductions in their water fees when they introduce irrigation systems with high reutilization rates.